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The Blog

Abolition of the transfer system

15, 01, 21
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There was an article today in The Athletic about transfer fees, for which I was interviewed and explained my argument that the transfer system is illegal. This is based on a paper I wrote for FIFPro in 2015. I summarized the argument in a post back then, but here is the full Discussio
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Forecasting the final table for the Premier League 19/20 season: Revisited

26, 07, 20
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Back in April, just after the league was shut down, I generated a simple forecast of the outcomes of the remaining EPL – posted here. So now here the actual final table to compare. I actually generated two predictions the X1 forecast were based on predicting the probability of e
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Forecasting the final table for the Premier League 19/20 season

23, 04, 20
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UEFA announced today that they are cool with pretty much any way of determining the end of season placings relevant for UEFA competition qualification, so long as this condition is met:  “the procedure for selecting clubs should be based on objective, transparent and non-discrim
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Covid-19 and football club insolvency

17, 04, 20
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I gave a talk today for the new ROSES online seminar series organized by James Reade at the University of Reading – it’s a great initiative from James and lots of interesting talks coming up in the series. Here’s a link to my talk on Youtube and here are my slides: I
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Soccer Analytics update

07, 12, 19
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I’m giving a talk at the Princeton Soccer Conference this weekend and will be reprising my talk on whether sports analytics is more like science or alchemy. Since last year I’ve reworked a lot of my analytics examples using Python rather than R – which has been fun.
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Soccer Analytics: Science or Alchemy?

08, 02, 19
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It is obvious to anyone with a passing interest in the game that the analysis of player and team performance in soccer is in the middle of a revolution. Soccer analytics, which one might broadly define as the application of statistical methods to player and team data, barely existed t
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The most exciting Super Bowl ever?

04, 02, 19
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With everyone saying what a boring Super Bowl it was, it’s worth noting that it was also a very close contest, at least as measured by the score. One way to measure closeness is to take the differences for each scoreline during the game (for last night’s game the scorelines were 0-0,
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The Soccernomics predictions model

31, 01, 19
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This season Soccernomics has been posting weekly predictions for games across 25 European leagues – you can see the predictions here. This is the work of Guy Wilkinson, who completed his PhD at the University of Michigan in 2017 and is now an assistant professor at the Universit
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How to ensure the financial stability of the football pyramid

26, 01, 19
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In their 2018 Annual Review of Football Finance Deloitte stated ”2017/18 represents the fifth consecutive season where there have been no insolvency events in the Football League, demonstrating some reason for optimism about the long term shift towards financial stability.” Possibly,
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UEFA benchmarking report and club profitability

26, 01, 19
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The tenth UEFA Club Licensing Benchmarking Report is, like the previous editions, an amazing treasury of useful financial information from which the intelligent reader can gain some remarkable insights into the state of European football. Since the introduction of Financial Fair Play
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Welcome to The Blog

We hope it will be a venue for some of our new thinking on football, money and data. We wrote the book Soccernomics because we believed that systematic data analysis could tell us interesting things about football. Our collaboration is a match of science and art, matching the numbers to a convincing story, something which we have to do in our day-jobs as a journalist and an academic.

Soccernomics had done well in the UK, the US and around the world since it was published in 2009, and we published a second edition in the spring of 2012 with three new chapters telling more stories using yet more data. But there’s no reason to stop there. Thus far, researchers have only scratched the surface of the football data mines. One of the aims of this blog is to talk about some of the research that is going on, and some of the uses to which that data is being put. For this new project, we’re also joined by journalist and consultant Ben Lyttleton, our partner in the Soccernomics consultancy.


Contact Us

ben@soccernomics-agency.com

From the Blog

  • Abolition of the transfer system
  • Forecasting the final table for the Premier League 19/20 season: Revisited
  • Forecasting the final table for the Premier League 19/20 season
  • Covid-19 and football club insolvency
  • Soccer Analytics update

Soccernomics on Twitter

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Opinion we like

Anders Red

The Swiss Ramble

Roger Pielke, Jnr

The Sports Economist

John Beech

Zach Slaton

Football Economy

Soccer Analysts

Soccermetrics

A Beautiful Numbers Game

Zonal Marking

The Wages of Wins Journal

Int. Journal of Sport Finance

Rod Fort: Sports Monsters

Data we like

11v11

Football Observatory

RSSSF

European Football Statistics

Football Data

Football Squads

Neil Brown

Soccerbase

MUFPLC

League Managers

Manchester City Analytics

In The Media

Data Analysis at Big Clubs

Becks’ MLS Impact in The Sun

How Liverpool Misread Moneyball

On Racism in Football

NBC’S Premier League Rights Deal

Soccernomics on Baseball Site Honus